StressSignalOne question first
Is today's risk mainly equity volatility, near-term event risk, or broader financial pressure?
StressSignal Risk Desk
I first check three things: are equity vol gauges moving together, is system stress following, and is near-term vol getting pricier than medium-term?
StressSignal is not a news feed or a trading signal. It puts equity volatility, term structure, and financial stress into one reading order so you can see whether risk is local or spreading.
Is today's risk mainly equity volatility, near-term event risk, or broader financial pressure?
A current risk read, the strongest drivers, indicator detail pages, and source links you can verify.
Start with the home read, open the top drivers, then use notes or the guide when a signal is unclear.
Disclaimer: this page is for market observation only, not investment advice. Risk note: indicators help you observe market conditions. They are not trading advice. Always add context, events, and position risk.
Daily view: short-term versus 3-month volatility
Daily cross-check across equity volatility gauges
Weekly view of system pressure
Shows a 0-100 read when enough samples exist; otherwise read the drivers.
Today's risk read
Under pressureUnder pressure: current risk score 77.0.
Data date: October 26, 2026
Start with these drivers
High-percentile signals
Above the 80th percentile
Watch zone
50th-80th percentile
Strongest driver
99% percentile
Data date: October 26, 2026. This home page is not trying to call buys or sells. It answers one useful question: is risk still local, or is it spreading across markets?
How I read it
STLFSI4 and NFCI are moving higher together. That makes the tail-risk story more credible.
Do not start with 'is VIX high?' First check whether equity gauges rise together, then whether STLFSI4 / NFCI confirm system pressure. When both sides move up, the story is stronger.
Disclaimer: this page is for market observation only, not investment advice.
Sorted by 1Y percentile. Start with the names at the top, then decide whether to open the chart.
| Indicator | Latest | 1Y percentile | 1D change | 5D change | State | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
High Yield OAS hy-oas | 3.4 | 99% | +0.13 | +0.17 | Risk spreading | Daily·October 26, 2026 |
Nikkei 225 VI nikkei-225-vi | 38.25 | 90% | +2.28 | +6.08 | Risk spreading | Daily·October 26, 2026 |
VIX/VXV Term Proxy vix-term-proxy | 0.95 | 88% | +0.00 | -0.03 | Risk spreading | Daily·October 26, 2026 |
VXN vxn | 28.3 | 88% | -0.42 | +1.17 | Risk spreading | Daily·October 26, 2026 |
SKEW skew | 151.8 | 86% | -0.59 | -16.79 | Risk spreading | Daily·October 26, 2026 |
AAII Neutral aaii-neutral | 27.4 | 84% | +2.40 | +0.89 | Under pressure | Weekly·October 26, 2026 |
Latest
38.25
October 23, 2026
1Y percentile
90%
Updated October 26, 2026
1D
+2.28
5D
+6.08